久久亚洲国产成人影院-久久亚洲国产的中文-久久亚洲国产高清-久久亚洲国产精品-亚洲图片偷拍自拍-亚洲图色视频

Global EditionASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Business
Home / Business / Finance

Despite rebound sign, gold loses shine

By Shi Jing in Shanghai | China Daily | Updated: 2018-07-09 10:52
Share
Share - WeChat
Chinese consumers browse through gold products at a shopping mall in Xuzhou, Jiangsu province. [Photo by Yu Tian/For China Daily]

Although gold prices, which have been slumping of late, have showed signs of a rebound on softening US dollar, the upside may not last long due to a variety of factors, analysts said.

For one, the recent continuous price slump has shaken the market confidence and spread concern among traders.

For another, throughout June, prices dropped despite trade tensions, falling US bond yields and investors' growing risk-aversion. In the normal course, the three factors would have sent investors scurrying toward gold from other asset classes. But not this time.

In fact, the tumble on June 25 offset the price gains made by the precious metal this year. The slump extended to the first trading day of July.

Gold dropped below $1,240 per ounce, hitting a record low since Dec 13 last year. According to French commercial bank Societe Generale, the price of spot gold has contracted by over 8 percent ever since it hit the year's high of $1,365.23 in April.

The stronger US dollar is the main cause for the gold price decline, SG said.

As of Wednesday, gold prices have shown signs of a rebound toward $1,255, thanks to a softening US dollar, according to FXTM, a forex broker.

But Lukman Otunuga, a research analyst at FXTM, wrote in a note that the upside is unlikely to last long, although gold has the scope to extend gains in the near term if the US dollar continues to weaken.

Technically, gold remains bearish on the daily charts as there have been lows consistently while the recent highs tended to be smaller compared to the past.

"The current rebound continues to highlight how gold remains extremely sensitive to the negative correlation against the US dollar," Otunuga wrote. "With market expecting the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates at least two more times this year, zero-yielding gold could witness further downside."

Otunuga further said investors may exploit the current technical rebound on gold to drive prices lower as the fundamental drivers behind the US dollar's appreciation are intact.

Traditionally, the market defines gold as an effective anti-inflation tool. When inflation rate increases, investors would favor gold-they buy it in bulk.

Since the beginning of this year, inflation rate rose, gaining more than 2 percent to 2.8 percent by May, the baseline set by the Federal Reserve.

Hence, the steady decline since then has unsettled the market. But Zhao Wei, senior analyst at Changjiang Securities, said gold prices are influenced by the effective interest rate in the US in the long term and affected by the US dollar in the short- to mid-term.

"Based on previous experience, gold was less attractive when the yield rate of the US dollar declined. So, the gold price would go down further," he said.

As gold is priced in US dollars largely, the currency's index will reflect the yield rate of related US assets. Historical data indicates that the gold price will be under pressure if the US dollar index rises, said Zhao.

On top of that, the economy in Europe is showing limited signs of a pickup as exports from the area won't improve in the short term. So, the US dollar will remain strong against that backdrop, which will also provide little room for an upturn in gold prices.

"Historically, gold prices would go up when the economic growth rate in the US started to slow down and the Federal Reserve started to loosen their currency policy. At present, we can see that the PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) in the US is declining, indicating that the country's economic prosperity has reached a peak. The importance of investing in gold will be evident soon," he said.

Top
BACK TO THE TOP
English
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
CLOSE
 
主站蜘蛛池模板: 欧美亚洲国产精品久久 | 国产一区成人 | 亚欧视频在线观看 | 精品丝袜国产自在线拍亚洲 | 黄网免费 | 成人毛片免费视频 | 欧美在线视频 一区二区 | 曰本人做爰大片免费观看一 | 久草免费在线观看 | 欧美成人视 | 成人国产综合 | 成年女人在线观看片免费视频 | 最新更新国内自拍视频 | 一级毛片视屏 | 国产成人精品视频免费大全 | 亚洲男人的天堂久久精品 | 日韩在线播放中文字幕 | 国产精品2020 | 91久久青青草原免费 | 成年毛片 | 91久久线看在观草草青青 | a级成人毛片免费视频高清 a级高清观看视频在线看 | 国产一级片在线 | 欧美三级在线观看不卡视频 | 久久久久久久99精品免费 | 99成人在线视频 | 久久99亚洲精品一区二区 | 18免费网站| 久久免费视频1 | 亚洲欧美日韩国产专区一区 | 1级a的观看视频 | 日本二区免费一片黄2019 | 日韩偷拍自拍 | 久久99久久成人免费播放 | 一区二区三区中文 | 亚洲欧美另类日本久久影院 | 一级做a爰 | 亚洲国产成a人v在线 | 91精品人成在线观看 | 亚洲精品久| 欧美成人免费夜夜黄啪啪 |