www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

Global EditionASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Opinion
Home / Opinion / Op-Ed Contributors

EU's 'de-risking' policy could become a risk itself

By YAN SHAOHUA | China Daily | Updated: 2023-10-28 10:08
Share
Share - WeChat
EU flags flutter in front of the European Commission headquarters in Brussels, on Oct 2, 2019. [Photo/Agencies]

The adoption of a recommendation on critical technology areas for the European Union's economic security, for further risk assessment with EU member states by the European Commission on Oct 3, is seen by many as a concrete move by the EU to "de-risk" its economy from China's.

The EU has said the recommendation relates to the assessment of technology risk and technology leakage. After being referred to by European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen in March this year, "de-risking", as a term, has gained in popularity in the EU's policymaking circle, as well as among British politicians. When von der Leyen put forward the idea in a speech on EU-China ties in March, she might not have expected it to become so catchy.

Over the past few months, there have been intensive discussions on China in the European Union, with "de-risking" finding mention in some of the most important policy documents on China, including the European Economic Security Strategy, German National Security Strategy, and European Council statements.

"De-risking" is also becoming the preferred term, instead of "decoupling", for US politicians when referring to future Sino-US relations. Other G7 leaders, too, are using the term "de-risking" to describe their countries' future ties with China. Even the latest G7 Summit communique mentions "de-risking". For the EU, "de-risking" seems to have become the new prism through which to look at its relations with China.

But while everybody is talking about "de-risking", few have paid attention to the risks inherent in the "de-risking" approach itself, because it has psychological, practical and political dimensions.

At the psychological level, the term "de-risking" carries negative connotations for both Chinese and European people. Since "de-risking" is mainly associated with China, it puts China in an uncomfortable position, giving the Chinese people the impression that their country itself is a risk. It sounds like another form of "China threat" theory which, according to Joseph Nye, Harvard political scientist, could become a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Although von der Leyen has emphasized that most of the trade between the EU and China does not pose a risk, ordinary people in EU states might not be well aware of that fact. Also when the EU adopts a policy of "de-risking" from China, it will reinforce the negative perception about China, which in turn will force the block to resort to "de-risking" in every decision it makes vis-à-vis China.

On the practical front, there is a risk of the "de-risking" strategy turning into protectionism and spilling over into areas of common interest. The EU's "de-risking" strategy has been developed in the context of the US aggressively pushing for "decoupling" from China in the tech sector.

By pursuing a "de-risking" strategy, the EU has been trying to distance itself from the "de-coupling" approach of the United States, because the European bloc thinks it is neither possible nor desirable. Still, the concept remains ambiguous and poorly defined, leaving ample room for interpretation.

What is the difference between "de-risking" and "de-coupling"? Who defines the "risks", the government or the enterprises? How far will the EU proceed in its pursuit of "de-risking" from China?

Although the EU claims to have devised its "de-risking" strategy in a targeted way, in practice it could be used as a cover for protectionism, the proposed anti-subsidy investigation by the EU against Chinese EVs being a case in point.

Obviously, there is a subsidy race in the green industry, with China, the EU and the US all engaged in it, and China appearing more successful in its industrial strategy. In this context, the EU has legitimate concerns, but the EV industry is too important to be subjected to zerosum thinking. The anti-subsidy investigation launched by the EU risks sparking a trade war between China and the EU, which doesn't serve their common goal of green transition.

Politically speaking, "de-risking", if not managed carefully, could backfire on EU-China relations. Trade has been the cornerstone of EU-China relations. But if the EU does not properly implement its "de-risking" strategy, it could turn into de facto "decoupling", which the EU has been seeking to avoid.

In defining and implementing the "de-risking" strategy, Germany will certainly be a benchmark for other EU states as it is the largest European economy and has the closest economic relationship with China among all EU states. Therefore, how Germany carries out its "de-risking" strategy will be closely watched by the other EU states as well as China.

The first test of Germany's "de-risking" agenda will be its attitude toward Chinese telecom giant Huawei. Germany's Interior Ministry is reportedly considering banning Huawei from the country's 5G networks as part of its "de-risking" strategy, ostensibly to reduce its dependence on China. If not properly implemented, this move could exact a huge cost on German telecom operators and delay and/or disrupt the rollout of 5G in Germany, while further undermining the already fragile trust between China and Germany.

Given Huawei's importance to China's efforts to break through the US' containment policy, a ban on Huawei by Germany would be seen by the Chinese people as a provocative move, a move indicating it supports the US' tech strategy to contain China.

Moreover, if the strategy of "de-risking" from Huawei extends to other tech sectors and other countries, China would probably be under pressure to take retaliatory action.

So, how to deal with the risks associated with "de-risking"? There is no easy answer. As a strategy, "de-risking" may continue to be part of the EU's overall trade and economic strategy, especially with regard to China. But the EU should be aware of the psychological, practical and political risks associated with it, and ensure "de-risking" does not become a risk in itself.

The author is a researcher at the Center for China-Europe Relations, Fudan University.

The views don't necessarily reflect those of China Daily.

Most Viewed in 24 Hours
Top
BACK TO THE TOP
English
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
主站蜘蛛池模板: 美女拍拍拍爽爽爽爽爽爽 | 亚洲一级毛片免费在线观看 | 国产精品一区二区三区久久 | 91精品久久久 | 草免费视频 | 九色97 | 亚洲欧美94色 | 亚洲 欧美 激情 另类 自拍 | 97国产大学生情侣11在线视频 | 日本a级在线 | 亚洲在线中文字幕 | 怡红院免费的全部视频国产a | 亚洲高清国产拍精品影院 | 国产成人高清亚洲一区久久 | 免费一级特黄a | 国产精品日本一区二区在线播放 | 久久久久久久综合 | 国产亚洲精品看片在线观看 | a级毛片毛片免费观看永久 a级毛片毛片免费很很综合 | baoyu121永久免费网站 | 欧美日本综合一区二区三区 | 欧美三级不卡视频 | 亚洲精品国产专区一区 | 亚洲免费观看在线视频 | 精品在线小视频 | 欧美69free性videos | 国产99久9在线视频 国产99久久 | 国产欧美日韩精品第二区 | 成人国产在线24小时播放视频 | 澳门毛片在线播放 | 久久99在线| 成年美女黄网站小视频 | 国产一级一片 | 91视频综合网 | 成人a毛片手机免费播放 | 国产专区一va亚洲v天堂 | 国产一级一片免费播放视频 | 欧美精品一区二区在线观看 | 亚洲精品大片 | 国产成人啪精品午夜在线观看 | 久久国产一级毛片一区二区 |