www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Business / Opinion

China's housing market not to crash: history revisited

(Xinhua) Updated: 2014-05-21 11:06

The surge began when the government made the property sector a pillar industry in 2003. After 2008, the credit boom, a government response to the global economic crisis, brought more investment and yet higher prices.

Despite the similarities, there are differences that will keep China free from bust American style: favorable demographic change, home upgrades, households' strong balance sheets, limited investment alternatives, strong income growth, and urbanization, according to Barclays at least. Beyond that, the Chinese government closely monitors and sometimes intervenes in the housing market.

Residential mortgage as a share of GDP, is an interesting way of quantifying the respective Chinese and US bubbles. Residential mortgages in China were less than 20 percent of GDP in 2012, while in the US in 2006, mortgages accounted for more than 80 percent of GDP, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

Japan, land of the rising house price 

When Japan's real estate industry collapsed in 1991, the result was a financial crisis and decades of recession. Triggered by the appreciation of the yen and excess expansion in the housing sector, the case is frequently compared with China.

Economic conditions including housing demand and exchange rate changes in China bear no similarities to Japan 30 years ago. China's real estate market is unlikely to follow the same track.

Japan's demand for new homes had already started to shrink when the bubble burst: The process of urbanization, a major driver of asset prices, was approaching its end.

Japan's urbanization rate had remained at around 75 percent since 1975. China is just gathering steam for its urbanization drive with rate of 53.7 percent in 2013. That rate, lower than most developed nations, indicates a genuine need to house 15 million newly arrived urbanites each year. Urbanization in China will continue, for sure, with the rate to reach 60 percent by the end of 2020: strong housing demand.

Japan's real estate bubble could also be attributed to the sharp appreciation of the yen, which had appreciated by over five percent annually since 1985, hitting a record high of 79 yen equal to one US dollar in 1995 from 235 against US dollars ten years before. Hot money poured in and asset prices soared. In six major Japanese cities, the price of commercial land rose by over 300 percent in the 1985-1991 period; false prosperity accelerating the burst of the bubble.

Turning point of Chinese property market

Do you think China will see a collapse in the property market?

Is China's housing market bottom in sight?

Building a stable housing market

China's housing market not to crash: history revisited

China's housing market not to crash: history revisited

China is not in danger of US-style housing crunch: US expert

China's real estate market: collapse or managed slowdown?

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 国产精品深爱在线 | 亚洲国产精品线观看不卡 | 亚洲网视频 | 成人午夜在线观看 | 亚洲一区天堂 | 国产成人一区二区三区 | 一级做a爰片久久毛片免费看 | 亚洲欧洲国产成人精品 | 久久综久久美利坚合众国 | 91精品欧美综合在线观看 | 国内精品久久久久久久影视麻豆 | 亚洲男女在线 | 男同黄网站 | 性欧美精品 | 久久综合狠狠综合久久97色 | 免费国产在线观看 | 国产一区二区三区国产精品 | 亚洲欧美在线观看播放 | 日韩三级免费看 | 欧美在线a级高清 | 国产精品免费综合一区视频 | 国产91网址 | 日本亚洲成高清一区二区三区 | 成人毛片在线 | 日本一区三区二区三区四区 | 精品一区二区影院在线 | 成人毛片免费视频 | 欧美在线一区视频 | 久草在在线 | 午夜日b视频 | 国产高清免费不卡观看 | 成 人 a v黄 色 | 一级国产视频 | 4四虎44虎www在线影院麻豆 | 97精品在线视频 | 精品自拍视频 | 欧美精品一级毛片 | 国产精品黄页网站在线播放免费 | 国产香港特级一级毛片 | 日韩午夜视频在线观看 | 毛片在线观看视频 |