www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Business / Industries

China winning in OPEC price war

(Agencies) Updated: 2014-12-02 09:50

China winning in OPEC price war

A horse carriage passes the headquarters of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries in Vienna. OPEC will keep its production target at 30 million barrels a day, signaling it will not adjust supply to influence prices, instead preferring to maintain market share amid the unprecedented US shale boom. [Photo/Agencies]

China is emerging as the winner from OPEC's battle with rival oil producers as the world's biggest energy consumer stockpiles crude.

The nation's efforts to boost reserves may increase its imports by as much as 700,000 barrels a day in 2015, according to London-based Energy Aspects Ltd. That's more than half the global glut forecast by Citigroup Inc after the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries refrained from cutting output at its meeting last week. Brent crude has slumped 41 percent from its peak in June.

The dwindling number of investors still betting on a rebound in prices can at least count on Chinese demand. OPEC decided to maintain output targets even as a shale boom boosts United States' production to the highest in more than three decades and causes a global supply glut.

As crude extends its slump to the lowest level in more than four years, China is seeking to build a strategic petroleum reserve.

"This is a golden time window to acquire more strategic oil stockpiles at lower costs," said Gordon Kwan, the Hong Kong-based head of regional oil and gas research at Nomura Holdings Inc, adding China will be "a big beneficiary" from the OPEC decision.

China boosted imports by 8.3 percent, or 460,000 barrels a day, in the first nine months of this year, the fastest pace since 2010, customs data show. The country will overtake the US as the world's biggest oil consumer within two decades, according to the International Energy Agency in Paris.

OPEC will keep its production target at 30 million barrels a day, signaling it will not adjust supply to influence prices, instead preferring to maintain market share amid the unprecedented shale boom. Citigroup estimates global oversupply will almost double to 1.3 million barrels in the first half of next year.

Benchmark oil prices have now plunged 40 percent from a June peak, the worst decline since the collapse of the financial system in 2008, and that is threatening to have the same global impact that falling prices had three decades ago, which led to the Mexican debt crisis and contributed to the end of the Soviet Union.

The speculative net-long position, or bets on rising prices, in US crude futures tumbled 51 percent since June, as investors lost faith in OPEC's willingness to act.

Short positions expanded more than threefold over that period, US Commodity Futures Trading Commission data show.

While China currently holds reserves equivalent to about 30 days of imports, the government is seeking to boost that level to 100 days by 2020, according to China Petrochemical Corp, Asia's biggest refiner. That would be the equivalent of about 570 million barrels, based on the most recent monthly imports.

"We know that China has already been taking advantage of lower prices to fill the SPR (strategic petroleum reserve)," said Simon Powell, the head of Asian oil and gas research at CLSA Ltd. "They still have a long way to go."

China is buying more oil even as its economic expansion slows. Gross domestic product will grow 7.4 percent this year, the weakest pace since 1990, and 7 percent in 2015, according to the median of as many as 56 economists surveyed by Bloomberg.

China consumed the highest volume of oil on record in October, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Slumping prices will "push China to expedite its emergency reserve program", said Gao Jian, an analyst at Shandong, China-based consultant SCI International.

China National United Oil Co bought a record 23.5 million barrels of Middle East crude on a Singapore trading platform in October. The unit of the nation's biggest energy company may be helping build stockpiles for commercial or strategic purposes, according to Victor Shum, a Singapore-based vice-president at IHS Inc, an industry consultant.

Commercial crude stockpiles increased to 35.63 million metric tons, or about 261 million barrels, in September, according to data compiled by Bloomberg from a newsletter published by the Xinhua news agency, a third consecutive monthly record.

China bought around 440,000 barrels a day more crude than it consumed from January to September, the most since 2010 based on data compiled by Bloomberg from Chinese statistics. The surplus is calculated by subtracting the amount processed by refineries from net imports and domestic production.

The government has filled four sites with 91 million barrels of crude, the National Bureau of Statistics said in a statement on Nov 20. China finished building the sites, which have a capacity of about 103 million barrels, in 2009 under the first of three construction phases.

Two of seven sites in the 191 million-barrel second phase were completed last year and construction has begun on two of the three sites for the third phase, China National Petroleum Corp, the nation's top energy producer, said in January.

The US government established its Strategic Petroleum Reserve in 1977 following the 1973-74 Arab oil embargo. The stockpiles, located in underground salt caverns along the Gulf Coast, peaked in 2009 at 726.6 million barrels, according to the Energy Information Administration. Supplies were 691 million as of Nov 21, enough for 37 days of demand.

"Our base case is for a modest increase in imports but the growth is coming off a very high base," said Amrita Sen, the chief oil market analyst at Energy Aspects.

"If China builds more caverns, imports could rise by 600,000 to 700,000 barrels a day."

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 亚洲精品国产精品一区二区 | 精品一区二区三区免费视频 | 精品欧美一区二区三区在线观看 | 女人让男人桶的小视频 | 亚洲波多野结衣日韩在线 | 国产欧美一区二区三区视频在线观看 | 极品色在线精品视频 | 久久亚洲精品中文字幕亚瑟 | 国产精品久久久久久搜索 | 免费一级毛片正在播放 | 美国三级| 日韩在线观看视频网站 | 亚洲精品免费在线观看 | 看一级毛片 | 成人看片黄a免费看视频 | 亚洲深夜视频 | 又粗又爽又色男女乱淫播放男女 | 在线国产毛片 | 综合色久 | 女初高中福利视频在线观看 | 国产黄色在线网站 | 美女网站在线观看视频18 | 99re8免费视频精品全部 | 日韩成人在线视频 | 亚洲综合色一区二区三区另类 | 99在线国产 | 国产婷婷成人久久av免费高清 | 九九re6精品视频在线观看 | 亚洲欧美日韩在线一区二区三区 | 97青娱国产盛宴精品视频 | 日韩中文字幕一在线 | 国产一级一级一级国产片 | 国产精品久久一区一区 | 国产在线观看成人免费视频 | 国产人成午夜免费噼啪视频 | 国产欧美综合一区二区 | av毛片在线看 | 国产妇乱子伦视频免费 | 久久在线免费观看视频 | 成人满18在线观看网站免费 | 一区二区国产精品 |