www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Business / View

Progress in reform will help change attitudes

By Ed Zhang (China Daily) Updated: 2015-08-10 07:34

China still hasn't digested the lessons from the recent stock market rout, let alone learned them.

Many young investors, those born in the 1980s and 1990s, who didn't get to see the effects of the Asian financial turmoil in 1997, and, starting in 2007, the almost seven-year bear market in domestic stocks, may have yet to recover even from the shock they have just experienced.

But as we discussed in the past few weeks, there can be two main types of lessons to be learned. One is about economics. And the other is the management of the market and trading practices.

In economics, there is a straightforward lesson: that a bull market, as seen in the earlier months of the year, cannot keep charging when the fundamentals of the real economy remain weak.

If the Shanghai Composite Index had risen from 2,000 points to 3,000 points only a few weeks earlier, it would be hugely irresponsible for any self-appointed authority to claim that when it hit the 4,000-point level, it was only the beginning of good times.

Rational investors cannot afford to forget the simple fact that China is right now going through a very painful, and potentially very costly, transition, and the end is far in the future. The range for a rise in the stock market index can, at such times, only be limited.

Of course the top leaders' anti-corruption drive is making good progress. One can easily get a feel about the welcome progress by going over the WeChat-the Chinese equivalent of WhatsApp-messages netizens pass around on a daily basis.

There are also national policies and big plans to ensure the economy's continuing growth, and the premier's office keeps reminding local officials of their duty to deliver the GDP target decided earlier this year.

But all these still remain conceptual. It will take time, and some serious political efforts as well, for them to translate into the policies and plans that can be attested by statistics and consumer reactions.

If, as central government officials have repeatedly said, the economy's old growth model is no longer working, then any sober-minded person would be able to tell how big a part of the real economy is to go with it. As heavy industries, along with material suppliers, stop growing as fast as they once did, replacement industries are still hard to come by.

In the management of the stock market and trading, Chinese regulators still seem out of touch with some of the basic realities in the country. The key is not to restrict trading, but to understand the market psychology and how it works.

More than ever, the Chinese stock market has become social media-driven. Some WeChat messages (and not all of them rumor) have an almost instant influence on both retail investors and small funds, which make up the majority of the participants in daily trading.

Things would inevitably become hard to manage when most investors are under the sway of a mentality that aims only at instant gain, an implicit lack of belief in the future, especially the economy's ability to deliver good long-term growth.

Therefore, it may be a mistake to start with to expect a lot of sunshine when clouds are still hovering and there isn't a strong wind.

When the economy's overall picture remains cloudy, investors might have been encouraged to buy more government-backed bonds rather than stocks of companies that are still struggling in their business transition. And if the government has already incurred an unattractive amount of debt, as seen in quite a few cities, it might just have to sell some assets or their management rights to private investors.

Doing so would fit well with the top leaders' "mixed-ownership" scheme. It was designated as one of the key reforms to pursue in the Third Plenum of the Party in 2013, but little has been done since. After all, citizens will have to see more actual progress in reform to regain long-term confidence.

The author is editor-at-large of China Daily. Contact the writer at edzhang@chinadaily.com.cn

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 亚洲欧美日韩国产综合 | 亚洲欧美日韩在线播放 | 亚洲二三区 | a级片在线观看视频 | 黄色毛片在线 | 中文精品爱久久久国产 | 一级特黄国产高清毛片97看片 | 亚洲国产精品久久综合 | 欧美特黄视频在线观看 | 亚洲人成在线免费观看 | 成人国产精品免费软件 | 国产欧美日韩在线观看 | 黄色视品 | 欧美日韩一区二区三区高清不卡 | 亚洲美女视频在线观看 | 久章草在线 | 久久香蕉国产线看观看精品yw | 黄色成人免费网站 | 精品国产成人综合久久小说 | 国产精品九九免费视频 | 亚洲美女中文字幕 | 男女乱配视频免费观看 | 成人欧美视频在线观看播放 | 一本久道综合久久精品 | 国产香蕉尹人综合在线观 | 91亚洲国产成人久久精品网址 | 日本特级黄毛片毛片视频 | 美女一级毛片免费看看 | 午夜欧美性欧美 | 国产精品日韩欧美 | 国产精品露脸脏话对白 | 全部免费毛片免费播放 | 色视频在线免费 | 九九九九热精品免费视频 | 欧美日本一区亚洲欧美一区 | 国产成人免费视频精品一区二区 | 自拍视频区 | 免费一级毛片在级播放 | 亚洲午夜在线观看 | 国内精品久久久久影院老司 | 91九色精品国产 |