www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Business / View

Not China-bashing again!

By Mike Rowse (chinadaily.com.cn) Updated: 2016-02-02 10:04

It's US election season again (when isn't it?), so it must be time to beat up China on everything to do with economic and trade matters.

Not China-bashing again!

Now I would be the first to agree that the Beijing government has made a couple of mistakes recently, and I'll come back to these in a moment together with my suggestions on how to fix them. But some of the claims being made especially by Republican presidential candidates during their debates are simply so far away from the truth that they must be corrected.

For example more than one candidate has stated as fact that China has kept its currency artificially low so as to gain an advantage in international trade. Front runner Donald Trump has even pledged to impose tariffs on Chinese products to "level the playing field", notwithstanding that this would be contrary to all the rules of the World Trade Organisation. It is correct that the renminbi has slipped by about 6 percent against the US dollar in the past few months, but that follows a rise of more than 20 percent in recent years so the net position is still a gain of around 15 percent. In fact a true reading of the position is that the renminbi has been pulled up by the strong dollar and most economists would say it is probably now over-valued compared with most other currencies.

Some observers have blamed China's reduced purchases of commodities for the fall in world prices, most spectacularly that of oil from well in excess of $100 per barrel to around $30. Yet our imports last year were equivalent to 6.7 million barrels per day – a record high. The real reason for the sharp decline in price is the substantial increases in supply. OPEC has continued to pump oil from the ground to try to force high cost producers like the American shale companies out of business. This policy has begun to work, but the newly improved relations with Iran promise to bring fresh supplies to world markets to take their place. As China rebalances the economy to put more emphasis on the service sector, and less on domestic infrastructure spending, it inevitably needs less steel (and hence iron ore) and concrete than previously. However as the Belt and Road initiative starts to take off, some of the slack will no doubt be taken up by projects in countries along the routes.

Some have talked up the prospects of India taking over from China as an engine of global economic growth. Nobody wishes India ill, and it would be good for everyone if the country's economy could enter an era of prolonged substantial growth such as China has enjoyed over the past 35 years. Yet the figures are not encouraging, at least in the short term. In 2014, the last year for which the International Monetary Fund has figures for all major economies, the USA was the world's largest with GDP of just over US$17 trillion. China was second with just over $10 trillion, ahead of Japan stagnating on $4.6 trillion. India? Well down the list at number nine with GDP of $2 trillion. In other words, even if Prime Minister Narendra Modi is able to galvanize the Indian economy to achieve growth close to 10 percent - and most observers believe this target is unlikely to be reached - the result will be an increase in global economic growth equivalent to $200 billion. That is equivalent to Chinese growth of just 2 percent, whereas even the doomsayers are talking of 5 percent against the target of 6.5 percent. The truth is the upper end of US growth forecasts (2 percent) would produce less of a lift to the world economy than 5 percent growth for China.

Previous Page 1 2 Next Page

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 精品一区二区在线观看 | 欧美高清在线精品一区二区不卡 | 国产成人一区二区三区影院免费 | 失禁h啪肉尿出来高h男男 | 亚洲欧美成人综合 | 伊人蜜桃 | 欧美最猛性xxxxx亚洲精品 | 国产精品黄页网站在线播放免费 | 欧美一级特黄特黄毛片 | 六月丁香久久丫 | 经典国产乱子伦精品视频 | a级毛片在线看日本 | 精品国产免费观看 | 欧美一区在线观看视频 | 欧美一级成人毛片影院 | 国产成人精品免费视频网页大全 | 国产色啪午夜免费视频 | 欧美日韩在线视频观看 | 亚洲美女高清aⅴ视频免费 亚洲美女黄色片 | 男人的天堂视频在线 | 成人免费在线播放视频 | 久久精品国产免费看久久精品 | 日韩精品一区二区三区不卡 | 国产精品日韩欧美一区二区三区 | 亚洲美女免费视频 | 欧美综合一区二区三区 | 99精品视频一区在线观看miya | 精品国产欧美一区二区最新 | 国产成人女人视频在线观看 | 国产成人免费视频 | 久草免费在线观看视频 | 国产网曝手机视频在线观看 | 国产日韩欧美一区二区 | 日韩一区二区在线视频 | 午夜不卡视频 | 亚洲美女一级片 | 99爱在线视频 | 一级风流片a级国产 | 黄色18网站| 一级毛片免费观看不卡视频 | 国产性生活 |