www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Business / Economy

Debt concerns plague housing market, SOEs, technocrat says

By Zheng Yangpeng (China Daily) Updated: 2016-04-18 07:50

Beware the asset price bubbles in China's first-tier cities, especially those driven by credit.

That's the message from Lord Adair Turner, former chairman of UK's Financial Service Authority, and now chairman of the Institute for New Economic Thinking, a US-based think tank.

Turner expressed his concerns to China Daily about surging home prices in cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen, echoing his consistent warnings about how excess debts drive real estate booms and busts, leading to financial crisis.

Asked if the Chinese people should worry about asset bubbles in the country's largest cities, the self-described technocrat replied, without hesitation: "Yes, you should."

After becoming chairman of FSA in 2008, Turner witnessed the unfolding of the global financial crisis. In his latest book, Between Debt and the Devil, he set the record straight about what he believes really caused the crisis: the West's addiction to private debt. He also challenged the belief that a private banking system ensures efficient allocation of capital and that rising debt is OK as long as inflation remains low.

He alerted the "self-reinforcing cycle" in which credit drives asset prices higher, which then sustain expectations of further increases, leading to more borrowing. In China's wealthy cities, as in other sophisticated economies, too much credit is competing for limited properties. Unlike other assets, it's difficult to create more as demand surges.

Compared with cash-driven purchases, Turner said credit-financed purchases are more dangerous. A 20-percent down payment requirement on housing in some cities could be higher, and minimum payments for second and third homes, in particular, should be high. He also recommended the introduction of heavy taxes.

"The tendency to have credit-financed real estate is very powerful, thus you need very strong forces to slow it down," he said.

Conversations about China's economy inevitably lead to dissection of high corporate debt overhang, which Turner described as a "major problem". The sheer size of the debt at 160 percent of GDP matters, but Turner said it is also about "misallocation of capitals" as the bulk of new credit merely repays old loans, and new loans are issued to support wasteful local government investment or to keep poor-performing State-owned companies afloat. "Bad debt might end up significantly higher than current measures of nonperforming loans suggest. But it may not produce a financial crisis, because most of the debts are between different departments of the State," he said.

That means the government could manage these debts by moving debts around different departments, for example, from State-owned enterprises to State-owned banks. A domino collapse like that in West's private banking system can be prevented, but Turner cautioned that eventually it involves budget losses. "I'm sure there will be significant losses in the banking system, which will require recapitalizing some banks. That requires money, so some debt will move from State banks to the central government balance sheet," he said.

Government will not allow all defaults, but neither will it allow all debts to move to the fiscal budget. The answer will be somewhere in between, he said.

Talking about debt-for-equity swaps, the much-discussed option to tackle problem debts, Turner said the key is the banks treatment of equities.

"There is no magic here. You can't use financial engineering to walk away the fundamental problem: the debts are bad. At the end of the day, that is the problem," he said.

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 91免费高清视频 | 免费99视频有精品视频高清 | 韩国欧洲一级毛片 | 亚洲午夜精品久久久久久抢 | 日韩欧美一区二区三区不卡视频 | 在线永久免费观看黄网站 | 波多野结衣免费免费视频一区 | 操碰91| 窝窝女人体国产午夜视频 | 久久精品免费观看久久 | 欧美视频在线一区 | 国产免费久久 | 国产成人91一区二区三区 | free性丰满白嫩白嫩的hd | 久色网址| 成熟的女性强烈交性视频 | 国产成人精品免费视频软件 | 国产精品久久久天天影视香蕉 | 男操女视频网站 | 国产精品美女视视频专区 | 欧美一区二区在线 | 国产精品无打码在线播放9久 | 成人精品视频在线 | 亚洲一区二区久久 | 国产成人一区二区三区影院免费 | 另类在线 | 成年人三级黄色片 | 视频在线一区二区 | 97在线视频免费观看 | 亚洲国产精品综合久久久 | 中国一级性生活片 | 香港免费毛片 | 欧美一级毛片在线观看 | 毛片com| 成年大片免费视频播放手机不卡 | 婷婷在线成人免费观看搜索 | 亚洲视频中文字幕在线 | 中文字幕成人免费高清在线 | 毛片啪啪视频 | 欧美在线a级高清 | 国产精自产拍久久久久久蜜 |