www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

chinadaily.com.cn
left corner left corner
China Daily Website

Optimistic outlook for Q4 and beyond

Updated: 2012-10-19 09:51
( China Daily)

Editor's note: Economic experts suggest that although some caution remains, the overriding message is one of optimism, and the current stability will continue into the strong fourth quarter and economic momentum into 2013.

Optimistic outlook for Q4 and beyond

Dariusz Kowalczyk, senior economist and strategist at Credit Agricole CIB

This makes the third quarter the second straight quarter of accelerated growth momentum. In addition, the last month of the quarter brought an acceleration of industrial output, retail sales and fixed-asset investment in year-on-year terms, highlighting the fact that the improvement of economic momentum was particularly strong in September. Clearly, concerns over continued slowdown can now be put to rest.

The data is mostly above consensus and confirms that growth is picking up and that China is not at risk of a hard landing."

Optimistic outlook for Q4 and beyond

Tom Rafferty, London-based analyst for Economist Intelligence Unit

The 7.4 percent growth represents a deceleration from the second quarter, and it is also the worst year-on-year figure. But we see a positive sign for growth in the fourth quarter and the next year. There are other positive signs. The data show that investment and retail sales have picked up. On the whole, we have also seen an increase in per capita disposable income this year, with the increase in minimum wages. On the whole these are positive signs for mid-term economic growth. We do not see any major shift in policy in the fourth quarter.

Optimistic outlook for Q4 and beyond

David Laurier, CEO of the Belgium-based environmental analysis provider AppliTek NV

The third quarter growth of 7.4 percent is still a very good number globally. For my company, the outlook for China is still very bright.

China has emerged a lot during the last 10 years. Maybe the expectations are just too high. A growth figure of 6 percent feels more natural to me. From my perspective, the economic recovery will start in (the first or second quarter) of 2013.

Optimistic outlook for Q4 and beyond

Chang Jian, economist at Barclays

The GDP growth in the third quarter and better-than-expected September data suggest that China's economic growth is stabilizing on the back of more accommodative monetary conditions, improving export orders, increasing infrastructure investment, and recovering property market activities.

The sustainability of the export growth remains key to the pace of the near-term recovery, and the Autumn Canton Fair may provide some clues.

Should the September momentum be sustained into the fourth quarter, there would be upside risk to our full-year forecast of 7.5 percent.

Overall, the September data painted a consistent picture of a pickup in domestic activities on the back of recovering domestic and external demand.

Optimistic outlook for Q4 and beyond

Ann Lee, a finance and economics professor at New York University, and author of What the US Can Learn from China

I would have expected GDP to come in at slightly higher than 7.5 percent because I think the monetary easing and stimulus earlier in the third quarter would have added to growth. Also, sectors other than manufacturing such as transportation and services are also growing. China's economy should stabilize or moderately slow down from here, given the uncertainty around the leadership transition.

Optimistic outlook for Q4 and beyond

Derek Scissors, senior research fellow at The Heritage Foundation

The year-on-year GDP figure was as expected. Investment excluding real estate was strong. Retail sales were a bit weaker. This is not encouraging for China's rebalancing.

The year-on-year figures say that GDP growth slowed a bit from the second quarter to the third quarter. However, a more accurate picture, including the quarter-on-quarter growth figures, indicates the opposite: GDP growth was weaker in the first half than the year-on-year figures indicate but a bit stronger in the third quarter.

 
8.03K
 
...
...
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 亚洲精品www| 午夜性激福利免费观看 | 韩国一级毛片 | 夜夜爱夜夜爽夜夜做夜夜欢 | 色拍拍噜噜噜aⅴ在线观看 色青青草原桃花久久综合 色婷婷91 | 手机在线观看亚洲国产精品 | 成人在线观看国产 | 国产免费久久精品99久久 | 日韩亚洲国产综合久久久 | 成人毛片免费网站 | 91精品国产乱码久久久久久 | 一级色网站 | 毛片在线看网站 | 亚洲视频在线播放 | 欧美一级免费在线观看 | 欧美日韩亚洲一区二区三区 | 久久久国产一区二区三区丝袜 | 成年人免费视频观看 | 国内精品一区二区在线观看 | 波多野结衣在线观看高清免费资源 | 国产精品久久久久久久午夜片 | 美国一级毛片不卡无毒 | 欧美一级大尺度毛片 | 黑人一级片 | 日韩中文字幕精品 | 久久精品99视频 | 精品久久久久国产免费 | 黑人特黄aa毛片 | 国内成人精品亚洲日本语音 | 国内成人自拍视频 | 国产激情一区二区三区 | 嫩草影院在线观看网站成人 | 欧美 亚洲 丝袜 清纯 中文 | 免费国产精品视频 | 久久免费视频网 | 欧美91精品久久久久网免费 | 国产一区二区三区亚洲综合 | 男女视频免费网站 | 久久亚洲精品视频 | 欧美日韩性视频一区二区三区 | 精品国产高清a毛片无毒不卡 |