www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

Make me your Homepage
left corner left corner
China Daily Website

No need to rush on nation's urbanization

Updated: 2013-09-16 08:16
By Ed Zhang ( China Daily)

Today's good news may be tomorrow's worry.

Having written about the Chinese economy for many years, you notice the phenomenon that when the whole world (outside China) is talking about this country's coming economic debacle, it is actually heading for a healthy turn. And when the whole world is celebrating China's good numbers, it may soon slip back to some "complicated situation", as the high-level PR euphemism goes.

This is because business cycles in China tend to be smaller as a result of frequent government interference. New trends and concerns can arise every three months.

Right now, we may be at such an interesting time. When nearly all major markets are on the rise, from Japan to the US, China has not missed the flight and has recently shown off some soothing figures. No one should complain about that, but it is also time to take due precautions against some possible setbacks.

In August, exports, a traditional engine of China's economic growth, grew year-on-year by 7.2 percent, as opposed to July's 5.1 percent. Large orders were crawling back from the United States and Southeast Asia. Analysts have already forecast higher trade growth in September.

Investment in fixed assets, a second engine of growth, saw an annualized increase of 20.3 percent for the period from January to August, compared with 20.1 percent in the January-July period. In other words, more money went into investment in August than the monthly average from January to July.

Consumption, the third engine of growth, is also picking up, showing an increase of 13.4 percent before deducting inflation, which was up 0.2 points from July. At the same time, inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, was a mild 2.6 percent year-on-year, even lower than July's 2.7 percent.

So far, so good. One may call China's August reporting card a feat considering the government's continuing efforts to cut down red tape (say its approval powers), shed redundant capacity, lower taxes on small enterprises and launch some fresh pilot reform programs. No one has to be worried about an ugly hard landing any more.

Then what? What about the last quarter of the year? What about the beginning of 2014? In contrast to all the bright short-term figures, one large dark shadow stands out. Without moving it out of sight, it could derail all the good efforts China has made until now. And that is the wrong kind of urbanization that we see in many local governments' grand plans.

Indeed, Chinese citizens should thank Premier Li Keqiang for not being so carried away with his own vision (world leaders frequently make mistakes of that sort) as to hastily introduce a national urbanization program based primarily on financial stimulus.

The National Audit Office's stocktaking of all government debts, a task ordered by the premier that may last into October, would be more likely to result in the government exercising greater caution in dealing with urbanization.

If urbanization is understood just as more real estate projects - large airports, railway stations, central business districts and so on - and if most of the projects are to be financed by government debt, then China's next round of development would be no different from the hurriedly structured stimulus program of 2008-09, which carried a price tag of 4 trillion yuan ($650 billion) but opened the floodgates for much more easy credit.

That infamous stimulus program is now widely criticized for having caused bad inflation and waste. And its loosely regulated use also helped to hatch some of the worst corruption cases in large corporations. China cannot afford to repeat such mistakes.

I really wish Premier Li Keqiang would add one more clause to his Likonomics: No hasty urbanization.

The author is editor-at-large of China Daily.

 
8.03K
 
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 免费亚洲黄色 | 制服诱惑中文字幕 | 国产成人精品曰本亚洲77美色 | 色婷婷久久综合中文久久蜜桃 | 欧美一级毛级毛片 | 免费看一区二区三区 | 亚洲国产成人在人网站天堂 | 免费国产成人α片 | 亚洲成a人v在线观看 | 国产精品福利视频萌白酱 | 免费一级做a爰片性色毛片 免费一极毛片 | 热re91久久精品国产91热 | 正在播放亚洲一区 | 日韩理论视频 | 欧美jlzz18性欧美 | 国产一区精品在线 | 国产精品一区高清在线观看 | 韩国本免费一级毛片免费 | 日韩色综合 | 综合色久| 日韩精品麻豆 | 欧美另类精品一区二区三区 | 久久国产影视 | 国产成人综合亚洲亚洲欧美 | 国产精品日本欧美一区二区 | 正在播真实出轨炮对白 | 久久www免费人成看国产片 | 亚洲一区2区三区4区5区 | 高清色黄毛片一级毛片 | 久久精品国产99久久香蕉 | 国产区精品一区二区不卡中文 | 久久99视频精品 | 美女国产在线观看免费观看 | 日韩午夜在线视频 | 国内自拍网址 | 国产精品免费一区二区区 | 欧美国产一区二区三区 | 国产亚洲精品网站 | 在线中文字幕播放 | 国产精品推荐 | 欧美在线视频观看 |