www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Business / Economy

Timetable for reform

By Andrew Moody (China Daily) Updated: 2014-03-21 08:16

"The real problem in the global economy might not be China investing too much but Western countries consuming too much. Americans are always inviting Chinese investment and European politicians are always coming to China looking for investment since they can do nothing but promote consumption at home."

Timetable for reform
New urbanization planambitious: Analysts  
Timetable for reform

Liu also believes that China's debt problem is often exaggerated with some estimating it at 240 percent of GDP when the National Audit Office data calculates it at just 58 percent.

"What some count in their figures is money the Ministry of Finance supplies to the market in order to enhance liquidity. This is good for the market. It is like China's QE (quantitative easing)," he says.

"It is not debt because most of the money that has been lent out this way to local governments and SOEs (state-owned enterprises) could be paid back."

George Magnus, senior independent economic adviser for UBS in London, takes major issue with such an argument and does think China's debt burden is a major problem. He also agrees with Pettis that an investment bust could occur within three years.

"I'd say 'within three years' is about right. The key preconditions are already in place: high levels of debt and credit intensity, slowing growth, and a rising incidence of financial stress and debt service capacity problems," he says.

Magnus, who presented similar arguments in his book, Uprising: Will Emerging Markets Shape or Shake the World Economy, also challenges Liu's view that investment making up half of GDP is normal for a developing country.

"Saying that the 50 percent rate is okay because China is a developing country doesn't fit either history or economics, so I don't know what the basis is," he says.

"If this were sound advice, then development would be easy. Every emerging country should have such an investment rate. The issue is not so much the rate but the speed of capital accumulation, the concentration of it in property and infrastructure, the reliance of capital expenditure on debt financing and that we know even now that the status quo can't carry on without leading to major economic disturbances."

The specter hanging over the Chinese economy is whether it risks suffering the same fate as Japan, which has experienced near-zero growth over the past two decades after a spectacular banking crash in the early 1990s.

Wolf at the Financial Times says, however, there are key differences between China now and Japan then.

"When Japan hit its crisis 20 years ago it had pretty well caught up on the developed world. China has perhaps another 20 to 30 years of fast growth potential," he says.

"On the other hand, however, I would argue that China is a more investment intensive economy and probably more unbalanced than Japan ever was. I would say that once it has made the necessary reforms to be a more consumption and private sector-led economy - which will probably be a painful adjustment - China's GDP per capita could perhaps double or even triple from where it is now."

Timetable for reform

Timetable for reform

Deepening reforms can help China tackle challenges 

FDI registers healthy growth

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 欧美一级特黄真人毛片 | a级毛片免费看 | 国产综合久久久久 | 欧美日韩在线永久免费播放 | 91成人在线免费视频 | 久久一日本道色综合久 | 日韩 欧美 国产 师生 制服 | 亚洲高清视频免费 | 美国美女一级毛片免费全 | 美国三级在线 | 乱系列中文字幕在线视频 | 欧美日本一道道一区二区三 | 欧美性久久久久 | 黄色一级片在线看 | 成人亚洲精品7777 | 亚洲一区二区三区欧美 | 色视频一区二区三区 | 中文字幕在线播放 | 成人在线高清 | 国内精品久久久久久久星辰影视 | 欧美在线一级片 | 久草免费福利 | 欧美一级片a | 美女又黄又免费视频 | 国产成人午夜精品影院游乐网 | 91网站网站网站在线 | 日韩毛片免费在线观看 | 曰本女同互慰高清在线观看 | 亚洲欧美中文日韩在线v日本 | 97久久精品午夜一区二区 | 亚洲男人天 | 久久免费成人 | 久久久久亚洲精品一区二区三区 | 国产精品久久久久影院色 | 99久久在线 | 亚洲一区二区三区免费在线观看 | 99久久综合国产精品免费 | 国产一级做a爰片久久毛片99 | www.av视频在线 | 久久青草国产手机看片福利盒子 | 日产日韩亚洲欧美综合搜索 |