www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Business / Economy

US QE exit to put further pressure on China's slowing economy

(Xinhua) Updated: 2014-10-31 09:37

BEIJING - Spillovers of the end of the US Federal Reserve's quantitative easing (QE) stimulus program are set to add difficulties to the Chinese economy, which has seen substantial downward pressure this year, economists have warned.

The Fed said overnight on Wednesday that it had decided to end its monthly asset-purchase program, as it "continues to see sufficient underlying strength in the broader economy to support ongoing progress toward maximum employment in a context of price stability."

HSBC chief China economist Qu Hongbin shared on Sina Weibo, the Chinese equivalent of Twitter, that the Fed's decision marked an end to the 6-year-old policy, launched during the financial crisis in 2008.

US QE exit to put further pressure on China's slowing economy
Fed announces end to quantitative easing stimulus, keeps low rates 
US QE exit to put further pressure on China's slowing economy
 PBOC monetary policy not US-style QE

QE, despite its faults, has helped the US economy recover gradually. In comparison, the Eurozone economy is facing a second downturn, Japan's recovery seems to be short-lived and the Chinese economy is preparing for downward pressure, Qu said.

The US dollar index rose by around 1 percent following the QE announcement. A strong US dollar is likely to result in the appreciation of the Renminbi against other currencies, which is set to put more pressure on China's slowing economy, he said.

China's economy, the second largest in the world, slowed to 7.3 percent in the third quarter of 2014, the slowest quarterly growth since 2009/Q1.

Guan Qingyou, senior analyst at Minsheng Securities, predicts a strong US dollar in the medium and long term; bearish gold market; and continuously sluggish commodity prices following the end of QE.

China's yuan funds outstanding for foreign exchange are expected to continue dropping, which will force the People's Bank of China (PBoC), the central bank, to change money supply channels, Guan said.

The PBoC is expected to continue using such monetary policy instruments as re-lending, pledged supplementary lending (PSL) and standing lending facility (SLF) next year, he said.

The PBoC has been using these instruments over the past few months to inject cash into the market and to ease liquidity.

Guan also said the end of QE will have a negative impact on the recovery of exports, and China might have to take more growth-supportive measures and expedite reforms.

The US economic recovery this time comes alongside trade rebalance measures, so the US recovery is not likely to push up China's exports, he said.

On the contrary, China's exports will face more pressure given the Renminbi appreciation against other currencies.

The Chinese economy will have to rely more on internally-driven growth, so more mini-stimulus measures and more reform exploration, via the free trade zone, are likely, Guan added.

Chinese President Xi Jinping on Monday said the experience gained from the Shanghai Free Trade Zone, since its launch in September last year, "should be replicated as soon as possible".

Ma Guangyuan, an independent Beijing economist, said the end of QE would mark a historical turnaround in US monetary policy leading toward a solid recovery of the US economy.

The impact of the end of QE on emerging markets has just begun. Two things are certain -- the flow of dollar funds from emerging markets to the US and a strong US dollar, Ma said.

"These will impact China," he said. "There is not much room for China to make monetary policy mistakes."

Former Fed chief economist David Stockton, however, played down the impact the exit will have on China.

The removal of the Fed's accommodation will have varied affects on different emerging-market economies.

"For China, the spillovers are likely to relatively minimal, as China has little dependence on foreign capital inflows. But for other emerging market economies, the spillovers may prove more painful," he said.

"Investors around the world should prepare for a period of heightened volatility...Even if the Fed is ultimately successful, there will likely be many many bumps along the path to normalization," Stockton added.

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 一级毛片欧美大片 | 日韩在线无| 国产日韩一区二区三区 | 国产成人精品一区二三区 | 久草在线视频中文 | 免费大片黄手机在线观看 | 中文字幕一区二区三区有限公司 | 北岛玲亚洲一区在线观看 | 日本欧美一区二区三区不卡视频 | 国产免费高清 | 在线久草视频 | 亚洲国产成人久久综合一区 | 亚洲免费在线观看 | 中文一区在线 | 成人免费视频国产 | 日本人一级毛片免费视频 | 午夜三级国产精品理论三级 | 欧美成人久久久 | 日本一区二区三区在线 视频观看免费 | 精品96在线观看影院 | 亚洲精品久久久久久久无 | a级一片| 国产 magnet | 狠狠se| 一区二区视频在线 | 久久99精品久久久久久 | 亚洲国产成人精品激情 | 在线观看免费黄视频 | 精品国产v无码大片在线观看 | 亚洲欧美一级视频 | 亚洲产国偷v产偷v自拍涩爱 | 国产成人a在一区线观看高清 | 亚洲va久久久噜噜噜久久狠狠 | 成人欧美在线视频 | 久久精品国产99国产精品 | 亚洲视频在线免费看 | 久草免费新视频 | 国产欧美视频一区二区三区 | 一级黄色美女视频 | 成人久久视频 | 在线欧美日韩精品一区二区 |