www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Business / Economy

Questions most asked about China's economy

(chinadaily.com.cn) Updated: 2015-05-27 16:18

China's economic slowdown has been worrying markets but former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said there was no risk of a hard landing and the economic slowdown is necessary as it needs to change its growth model to be more sustainable in the long term. Here we answer some of the questions most asked about China's economy, based on a UBS research report.

Where are we in the property downturn?

We are still in the middle with new property starts expected to decline by another 10-15 percent this year as its cumulative impact on total construction increases in 2016. Property policy easing helps mitigate but will not reverse the downturn.

What is happening with China's monetary easing?

China has delivered multiple reserve requirement ratio (RRR) and benchmark rate cuts to mitigate passive tightening. We expect at least one more rate cut and 100 bps RRR cut, as well as larger scale pledged supplementary lending to help stabilize growth and contain financial risks.

How will the local government debt swap work and play out for banks?

Local fiscal reform seeks to address both the stock and flow of debt. Some 15 trillion yuan in local level debt will be formally recognized as local government debt and some swapped into provincial bonds, directly with current creditors. Swaps can lower local governments' debt servicing burden, and reduce banks' capital charge and loan-deposit ratio albeit while also reducing their interest income.

Does easing compromise structural reforms?

We don't think cyclical easing will necessarily hinder structural reforms which have progressed visibly in the past year. We are not as excited as the market about near-term State-owned Enterprise reforms.

Does China need more infrastructure and how will it be financed?

We think China still needs more infrastructure, especially in public transport, water and environmental protection. Financing will come from multiple channels, including Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs), policy banks, and old local government financing vehicles (LGFVs).

Is China's anti-corruption drive a short-term fix and bad for growth?

No. We think the long-term mechanism is being put in place by ongoing budgetary and price reforms, cuts in necessary government approvals and legal system reforms. Less corruption will reduce waste and business transaction costs, improving resource allocation and social stability.

What is happening to re-balancing?

China's re-balancing has already started, driven by both the investment slowdown and fundamental structural reforms. Consumption has contributed more to growth than investment since 2010 and remains resilient.

When will China start cleaning up its banks and how?

The clean-up has started with faster non-performing loan write-offs and local debt restructuring. The low official NPL ratio makes a large government recap highly unlikely. We expect banks to raise capital soon, via channels including equity.

Why no financial crisis?

China's high domestic savings and the existence of capital controls provide banks with ample liquidity. Extensive government ownership and controls also mean China can manage the pace of deleveraging instead of having it directed or enforced purely by market forces.

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 欧美成人四级hd版 | 成人免费在线观看视频 | 日韩毛片在线免费观看 | 久久国产免费观看 | 亚洲在线播放 | 国产精品区牛牛影院 | 国产精品久久久久久久久久免费 | 久久久久依人综合影院 | 国产精品三级在线观看 | 一区二区播放 | 欧美激情成人网 | 久久久久久久久一次 | 久久国产欧美日韩高清专区 | 国产一级片网址 | 成人亚洲精品 | 性色tv视频观看 | 久久亚洲国产最新网站 | 久久国产精品久久精品国产 | 欧美一区二区三区免费播放 | 免费一级毛片在线播放欧美 | 玖玖精品视频在线观看 | 亚洲免费观看 | 欧美在线黄色 | 毛片免费看看 | 免费精品一区二区三区在线观看 | 国产欧美日韩综合精品无毒 | 亚色成人| 国内精品免费一区二区三区 | 国产精品高清视亚洲一区二区 | 在线国产欧美 | 成人小视频在线观看免费 | 欧美日本在线视频 | 69欧美另类xxxxx高清 | 国产激情视频在线播放 | 在线成年人网站 | 欧美中文字幕 | 色综合色狠狠天天久久婷婷基地 | 亚州免费 | 日韩毛片在线免费观看 | 国产在线观看高清精品 | 国产精品久久久久久亚洲伦理 |