www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Business / China Development Forum

'Rebalancing and renormalization' are center of challenge

By Zheng Yangpeng (China Daily) Updated: 2015-03-21 08:02

As Martin Wolf, chief economics commentator at the Financial Times, talked with China Daily, the US Federal Reserve was about to publish its statement and the world was watching to see if the Fed would raise interest rates.

Anticipation of rate hikes has pushed up the value of the US dollar. The yuan has already been weakening against the dollar for a while, and economists have talked about the risk of a capital outflow.

Wolf said that even if the Fed decides to raise rates, probably in the summer or early fall, interest rates would remain quite low for a long period and "the exchange rate can't be used as a major way to reignite growth in China".

"It's been my view for a very long time that China is too big to be on the basis of an export-led growth," he said.

One of the world's most influential writers on economic matters, Wolf is also an avid reader of the Chinese economy. He believes the problems confronting the country are almost entirely domestic, and not external.

The centerpiece of the challenge, he said, is that China is engaged in a very complicated "rebalancing and renormalization" of its economy, which is more complicated and difficult than expected.

As the economy slows from 30 years of 10-plus percent growth to 7 percent, to make that work in a stable manner requires a very major shift in the pattern of spending and income distribution toward households and consumption, he said.

China has to "make some sensible compromise" between the goals of growth and deleveraging. That is not necessarily an "either, or" trade-off, but "maybe in the end the growth will slow a bit, and the debt will rise a little more. We've seen in the Western world that getting growth back with a shrinking debt is quite difficult. It will be difficult for China too.

"I personally think the challenges China's economy now confronts are possibly the most difficult challenge since the reform and opening-up began," he said.

In order to achieve its target of around 7 percent growth, China will have to "restart the investment-led and the debt-fueled growth model", and that would not be sustainable.

"While you can get 7 percent growth this year, the cost of achieving that growth next year will be even larger," he said.

If everything goes well, it will take about a decade until China becomes an economy in which consumption takes a much larger share, and growth is led by innovation and competitive private enterprises.

In that decade, there will be a few difficult years when growth is below target, he said, but that "need not to be a catastrophe as long as reform and adjustment happens."

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 97国内免费久久久久久久久久 | 午夜专区 | 一级毛片区 | 美女亚洲视频 | 男女晚上爱爱的视频在线观看 | 天天看片天天爽_免费播放 天天看夜夜 | 黄色毛片免费在线观看 | 69性欧美高清影院 | 欧美丰满大乳大屁股毛片 | 日韩精品中文字幕在线观看 | 99久久视频| 5级做人爱c视版免费视频 | 日韩欧美在线观看 | 欧美变态一级毛片 | 欧美精品成人3d在线 | 国产日产久久 | 亚洲欧美日韩在线一区 | 久草热久草视频 | 亚洲精品久久久久久久无 | 永久免费观看午夜视频在线 | 男女无遮挡拍拍拍免费1000 | 美国一级毛片片aaa 美国一级毛片片aa成人 | 久久99一区 | 亚洲精品综合久久中文字幕 | 在线观看国产欧美 | 亚洲午夜片 | 极品美女一级毛片 | 久久精品一区二区国产 | 国产欧美另类性视频 | 91成人在线免费视频 | 91成年人 | 国产一级爱做片免费观看 | 成人午夜兔费观看网站 | 久久久久久综合七次郎 | 久草手机在线观看 | 中文字幕亚洲欧美 | 国产欧美成人不卡视频 | 99精品高清视频一区二区 | 欧美国产日本 | 亚洲欧洲日产v特级毛片 | 免费的一级片网站 |