www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

USEUROPEAFRICAASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
China
Home / China / Society

Xinhua Insight: Mortality rates in China down, not up

Xinhua | Updated: 2017-03-02 20:51

BEIJING -- Mortality rates in China are down, contrary to a recent Wall Street Journal report, leading Chinese experts said.

In "Why Chinese men are dying," dated Feb 24, the Journal reported that "mortality rates among Chinese men aged 41 to 60 have increased by 12 percent" over the decade through 2013.

Upon closer inspection, however, the report's conclusion was based on incomplete data, casting doubt over the veracity of the story.

"DISHEARTENING" NEWS

The Journal reported the "disheartening news from China," following the release of mortality data from the country's insurance regulator.

The China Life Insurance Mortality Table (2010-2013) was released this year, replacing the previous iteration that covered the 2000-2003 period, which was dated and lacked breadth.

The earlier table presented mortality rates in two insurance categories, non-annuity and annuity. The latest data set, however, presented rates in three categories, non-annuity I (mainly for term and whole life insurance), non-annuity II (mainly for endowment insurance) and annuity.

Herein lies the problem, the Journal report appeared to only reference data from non-annuity I.

At a glance, the mortality rate for men aged 50 who held non-annuity policies during the 2000-2003 period was 0.3570 percent.

For the latter period there are now two sets of data. The mortality rate for men aged 50 was 0.4249 percent in the non-annuity I category, and 0.2908 percent in the non-annuity II category.

Thus, in response to whether a 50-year-old Chinese man is more likely to die in 2013 than a decade ago, the answer would be yes and no -- yes for category I, and no for category II.

In its report, and specifically the accompanying chart, the Journal appeared to compare mortality rates from the new non-annuity I category to non-annuity data from 2003, thereby reaching its alarming conclusion, said Dr Wang Qing, chief actuary of ABC Life Insurance.

"That is a clear misreading of the numbers," said Dr Wang, a veteran actuary trained in the US.

Wang Zheng, secretary general of China Association of Actuaries, which led the compilation of the new data set, agreed.

The two sets of data are incomparable, he told Xinhua, "For example, in the US, you can't compare the smoker mortality table to the composite mortality table."

The report did not elaborate on the reasons behind its choice of data.

"DOWN, NOT UP"

The China Life Insurance Mortality Table needed to be updated as the past decade has seen significant changes to mortality rates and increased life expectancies, Yuan Xucheng, an official with the insurance regulator, said.

"If you compare the 2013 numbers from non-annuity II with the non-annuity numbers from 2003, mortality rates drop by 25 to 30 percent," said Dr Wang. "For men aged 41 to 60, mortality rates decreased by about 20 percent".

The mistake of the Journal report was that it only used data from non-annuity I, he added.

The mortality rates in the annuity sections, including the rates for Chinese men aged 41 to 60, were consistently lower in 2013 compared to 2003.

"BE CAUTIOUS"

"A reduction of men in their working prime could put a damper on China's productivity growth," the Journal warned, after speculating that "financial success breeds bad health habits" and "the pressure to perform and accumulate wealth in a male-dominated society adds to the health issues."

Wang Zheng with the China Association of Actuaries advised caution when dealing with the data.

The life insurance mortality table was compiled on the basis of life insurance policies sold -- not an accurate census of the Chinese population, he said.

China has a population of over 1.3 billion, but the latest table was compiled with data from 180 million people.

Editor's picks
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
 
主站蜘蛛池模板: 国产三级国产精品国产国在线观看 | 亚洲国产日韩在线 | 欧美成人三级网站 | 国产一级真人毛爱做毛片 | 国产成人久久综合二区 | 国内精品中文字幕 | 国内精品1区1区3区4区 | 不卡一区在线观看 | 亚洲www视频 | 国产美女一区二区 | 欧美在线一级片 | 殴美毛片 | 国产日韩欧美视频在线 | 日本视频在线免费观看 | 99久久免费精品国产免费高清 | 三级全黄a | 天天看片日本 | 午夜不卡在线 | 成人性免费视频 | 国产成人精品男人的天堂538 | 美女被免费视频的网站 | 精品亚洲一区二区 | 日本a一级片 | 俄罗斯美女在线观看一区 | 在线亚洲精品视频 | 精品免费在线视频 | 久久久青草 | 日韩视频在线观看一区二区 | 免费一级毛片在线播放欧美 | 国产精品2019 | 欧美黄色一级视屏 | 色视频在线免费 | 私人午夜影院 | 日韩欧美一二区 | 国产自在自线午夜精品视频在 | 在线综合亚洲欧美自拍 | www.自拍| 日韩亚洲精品不卡在线 | 欧洲一级片 | 在线国产一区二区 | 九九九九精品视频在线播放 |