www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

USEUROPEAFRICAASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
China
Home / China / Business

Birth policy change key to economy

By Mike Bastin | China Daily | Updated: 2013-12-10 07:34

Reform | Mike Bastin

The recent announcement of a slight relaxation in China's one-child policy is certainly the most significant change since the policy was introduced more than three decades ago.

The shift will mainly affect urban dwellers, where a couple will soon be allowed to have a second child if either parent is an only child.

Birth policy change key to economy

A child helps his parents shop for milk powder in a supermarket in Xuchang, Henan province. Provided to China Daily

Previously, both parents had to be from one-child families.

Many expect a substantial increase in births as a result, with estimates of between 15 and 20 million people becoming eligible to have two children.

Early indications are that approximately 50 to 60 percent of these people are eager to take advantage of this new opportunity.

Increased societal and family harmony and togetherness are often cited as key reasons behind this announcement, but another key factor is the imbalanced labor market.

The traditional preference for a male birth, combined with the one-child policy, has led to the world's most skewed gender ratio at birth.

Last year, according to official sources, the ratio was 117.7 boys for every 100 girls. In comparison, the majority of societies do not exceed a ratio of 107 to 100.

As a result, there may be up to 25.4 million more males in the under-15 cohort and possibly 51.5 million overall across mainland China.

The recent announcement should lead to some sort of reduction in this dangerously unbalanced ratio, especially if a Chinese couple's first child is a girl.

The natural preference for boys, largely because of the male continuing the family name, and a mixed gender cohort should, therefore, lead to more couples trying for a second child if their first is female. But the chances of this second child turning out to be female are also high.

China's labor market, therefore, should become more evenly balanced between males and females, which can only be a good thing. Chinese businesses, more specifically the managers of these businesses, remain mostly male-dominated.

Many are of the view that this contributes considerably to an overly autocratic, conservative business culture where there is little or no opportunity for teamwork and innovation. Yet studies done across cultures and over many years suggest strongly that female managers and leaders usually create a more progressive, consensual, less aggressive and more tolerant, flexible and open business culture, seen by many as far more suitable for the current and future business environment.

Chinese companies need far more female managers and leaders, and this slight shift in the one-child policy should help in this direction.

China's aging population also represents another worrying demographic trend. Official sources reveal that the average life expectancy in China rose to 74.83 in 2010, a level 3.43 years higher than just a decade earlier. By 2015, this figure is expected to have increased by one more year.

To remain competitive internationally, the size of China's workforce is critical.

Extant research studies indicate that, on the assumption that implementation of the policy takes place in 2015, China's population will proceed to peak at 1.401 to 1.412 billion in 2026 to 2029, compared with a peak range of 1.392 to 1.41 billion in 2023 to 2025, should the one-child policy remain unchanged.

In a nutshell, the policy change should result in an additional 9 million births over the first decade or so after implementation. A relatively small population increase, but an increase nonetheless.

And, crucially, some sort of counter against the unstoppable aging population.

Not that this policy alone will be sufficient to ensure a workforce of critical mass and an increasingly modern, democratic business culture inside Chinese businesses, but it certainly provides a timely nudge in the right direction.

The author is a visiting professor at the University of International Business and Economics in Beijing and a senior lecturer on marketing at Southampton Solent University's School of Business. The views do not necessarily reflect those of China Daily.

Editor's picks
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
主站蜘蛛池模板: 国产成人禁片免费观看 | 久久久在线视频精品免费观看 | 欧美一级视频在线观看 | 亚洲理论片在线观看 | 国产欧美精品区一区二区三区 | 欧美一级专区免费大片野外交 | 国产99精品在线观看 | 国产三级借妻 | 国产三级香港三韩国三级 | 一本色综合 | 欧美一级高清在线观看 | 精品videosex性欧美 | 亚洲欧美精品中文字幕 | 亚洲无色| 久草国产在线观看 | 国产高清精品久久久久久久 | 国产呦系列 | 亚洲在线视频免费观看 | 亚洲精品国产成人专区 | 欧美精品午夜毛片免费看 | 男人天堂亚洲 | 色香欲综合成人免费视频 | 亚洲一级毛片免费看 | 国产精品一 | 国产精品亚洲精品一区二区三区 | 日本高清在线精品一区二区三区 | 亚洲精品第五页 | 欧美成人影院 在线播放 | 5388国产亚洲欧美在线观看 | 亚洲美女性视频 | 久久久久久免费视频 | 999热成人精品国产免 | 精品国产一区二区三区四区vr | 日韩中文字幕视频在线 | 国产精品理论片 | 手机看片国产免费久久网 | 成人午夜爽爽爽免费视频 | 欧美一级久久久久久久大片 | 成人精品网| 欧美精品综合一区二区三区 | 欧美日韩视频在线第一区二区三区 |