www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

USEUROPEAFRICAASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
China
Home / China / View

Can Abe last his 4-year term?

By Yang Bojiang | China Daily | Updated: 2014-12-20 08:09

Given Japan's sagging economy and mounting doubts, incumbent PM must play by the rules and improve ties with neighbors to succeed

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is expected to be in power until 2018 after his coalition won a big victory in the Dec 14 snap election. Abe's Liberal Democratic Party and coalition partner, the Komeito, won 326 of the 475 seats in the lower house of parliament, gaining a two-thirds "super-majority".

The election result shows Japanese voters had only two options: zero or minus. Voting for the main opposition Democratic Party of Japan, whose incompetent rule ended two years ago, would be a "minus" choice, making the LDP the better deal. Also, the turnout dropped to a record low of 52.38 percent, indicating that many voters favoring certain candidates had voluntarily relinquished their voting rights.

Confident that the public approved of his economic policies, known as "Abenomics", Abe appeared overly panglossian in a televised interview after the election, when the truth is that "Abenomics" is self-contradictory and has failed to yield results. Abe's economic policies generated very limited stimulation in Japan's economy. Aimed at ending deflation and generating growth, Abe's "three arrows" did help the stock market rally and wages increase, but they couldn't curb the prices of many commodities from shooting up drastically and creating a considerable financial burden for many Japanese.

The 21 seats won by the Japan Communist Party in the election - against the eight it won the last time - could be seen as a big leap for the party. By voting for a party that has the least chance to form a government, many voters not only protested against "Abenomics", but also showed how desperately they want Japan to emerge out of recession.

But Abe has earned two more years (than he would have without the election) in office. The fact that the opposition DPJ has not yet recovered from the defeat two years ago, "Abenomics" has not proved totally disastrous, and that he "sincerely requested" to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing last month helped Abe regain some of his lost public trust.

Yet Abe may have taken a risky gamble, because his political career and the well-being of Japanese people both would suffer greatly should his "three arrows" strategy of hyper-easy monetary policy, government spending and reforms continue to produce no results.

Last month, he decided to postpone a second 10 percent tax hike to April 2017, raising concerns about how Japan will cope with its huge public debt. Plus, the election which cost more than 60 billion yen ($510 million) in taxpayers' money amid looming recession, could shave some of his power before he even finishes celebrating his victory.

On the other hand, Abe's tenure for the next four years, along with his probably unchanged Cabinet, could be a concern for many countries, especially China and the Republic of Korea. The first cause for concern is: Will Abe replace the 1995 Murayama Statement, the apology rendered by Tomiichi Murayama, then prime minister of Japan, for the atrocities committed by the Japanese army on neighboring countries before and during World War II, with something else?

Other serious matters of concern are: Will Abe continue refusing to face up to Japan's wartime history? Will he keep trying to amend the peace Constitution to enable Japan to fully exercise the right of collective self-defense?

Yes and no. Judging from Abe's earlier attempts, maybe "yes". But he has very few choices left. His popularity ratings over the past two years have slid each time he has muscled through a security or military agenda, particularly in passing the "Special Secrets Protection Bill" which many consider a latent call to arms.

Besides, given people's demand for improving the economy and livelihoods, the Abe administration will have to be more pragmatic and spend less time trying to amend the Constitution. Even if none of the above problems stand in his way, Abe cannot amend the Constitution unless his coalition wins the 2016 Senate election, by which time "Abenomics" could shatter his dream.

Therefore, the top priority for the Abe administration, plagued by a sagging national economy and mounting doubts, should be to improve relations with Japan's Asian neighbors in the following years. In this effort, Abe, as a right-leaning politician, will hardly be thwarted by Japan's rightist forces if he sticks to the four-point agreement reached with China in November. Of course, Abe can get this added bonus only if he really wants to improve Sino-Japanese ties.

The author is the deputy director of the Institute of Japanese Studies under the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.

 

Editor's picks
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
主站蜘蛛池模板: 毛片在线视频观看 | 九色福利 | 免费一级毛片在线播放不收费 | 日本欧美一区二区三区不卡视频 | 国产免费a级片 | 在线欧美精品二区三区 | 国产午夜精品免费一二区 | 国产一区免费在线观看 | 一级做a爰片久久毛片看看 一级做a爰片久久毛片鸭王 | 亚洲欧美偷拍自拍 | 亚洲不卡一区二区三区在线 | 99精品视频一区在线视频免费观看 | 久久精品男人的天堂 | 国产精品国产三级在线高清观看 | 草草在线免费视频 | 久久久久99精品成人片三人毛片 | 作爱在线观看 | 国产久视频 | 国产精品亚洲玖玖玖在线靠爱 | 国产综合精品久久久久成人影 | 中国国产一级毛片 | 成年女人免费看片 | 黄色美女视频 | 国产丶欧美丶日韩丶不卡影视 | 一本综合久久国产二区 | 国产91精选在线观看网站 | 一级视频在线免费观看 | 亚洲精品日韩在线一区 | 国产永久在线视频 | 国产高清厕所盗摄视频 | 韩日三级视频 | 久久综合亚洲一区二区三区 | 中文字幕在线观看一区二区三区 | 国产午夜精品理论片小yo奈 | 久久精品视频在线 | 久久怡红院亚欧成人影院 | 精品在线一区二区三区 | 久草免费在线视频 | 日本视频在线观看不卡高清免费 | 亚洲黄a| 国产一级特黄一级毛片 |