www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
China / Business

Experts: Positive signs in property, manufacturing

(China Daily) Updated: 2017-07-21 09:02

Editor's Note: China's gross domestic product expanded at a rate of 6.9 percent in the first half of this year. In a series of interviews, China Daily asked economists, analysts and business leaders about the prospects for economic growth in the country.

Q1: What are the most encouraging signs in the Chinese economy in the first half of 2017? What impressed you the most about the macroeconomic data currently available?

Q2: Based on your research or business operations, what are your comments and projections regarding the Chinese economy's growth prospects in the second half of this year?

Q3: What will be the most supportive factors bolstering China's growth this year? What are the most severe challenges currently facing the Chinese economy?

Q4: What are your suggestions regarding how China can achieve stable, balanced and sustainable economic growth in the years ahead?

Zhang Zhiwei, chief China economist at Deutsche Bank

A1: The most important signal is the rebound in the property sector. This strong performance in the property market is consistent with the signals we noticed in the land market. In particular land auctions in third-tier cities rose strongly in June. It seems market expectations for property and land became more optimistic in June.

There are clear signals that the authorities are taking measures to support financial stability and further enhance regulation coordination. The government aims to effectively manage financial risks without sacrificing growth. So far this year the government has indeed managed to deleverage the financial sector without damaging the economy. The government recognized the risk of high leverage in the financial sector and took action to address such risks. We noticed the banking sector cut credit to non-bank financial institutions. This tightening of financial regulation is necessary to maintain financial stability.

A2: Based on a matrix of key indicators, we expect GDP growth of 6.6 percent in the third quarter and 6.5 percent in the fourth quarter. With the economy doing well and the property sector rebounding, we think there is no urgency for the monetary policy stance to be loosened in the second half of this year. Investment growth is likely to slow a bit. But we believe the slowdown will be gradual. Credit growth in the financial sector slowed sharply, but credit growth to the real economy remains strong.

A3: Economic growth may remain resilient. In particular, the rebound in the property sector plays a critical role in the growth cycle. It helps the economy through the fiscal channel, as local government revenue from land sales improves.

While the property market has been resilient, exports also performed well with help from strong global demand. In the second half of 2017, the challenge is to avoid relying too much on the housing market and develop a more sustainable strategy for the housing market.

A4: Structural reforms are critically important to achieve a more sustainable growth model. With an aging population, China needs to come up with a higher productivity growth. This can only be achieved through structural reforms, particularly in the service sector. There is still a lot of potential to be utilized, as a large part of the service sector remains protected with high entry barriers to private investment.

The financial sector will further unleash potential for economic growth as well. The government could further open up the financial sector to foreign investors, allow domestic investors to diversify asset allocation globally, and promote renminbi internationalization.

Aidan Yao, senior emerging Asia economist at AXA Investment Managers

A1: Manufacturing investment rose 5.6 percent in May, recouping some of its lost momentum in April. In addition, retail sales expanded 10.7 percent in the same month.

In May, fixed asset investment growth declined to 8.6 percent from 8.9 percent in April. Industrial production grew 6.7 percent year-on-year, unchanged from April.

A2: The Chinese economy has remained steady after losing some stream in the first quarter. Industrial sectors weakened further due to softening growth in infrastructure and property investment. Manufacturing investment has picked up the slack, with robust consumer spending and exports also providing an offset.

We expect a gradual economic slowdown in the second half of 2017, thanks to policy tightening in the housing market and the financial system.

A3: As far as potential risks are concerned, we have highlighted, for a while, renewed renminbi depreciation, capital outflows and commodity price declines.

Highlights
Hot Topics

...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 国产91丝袜在线播放九色 | 欧美另类专区 | 色毛片| 美女张开腿给男生桶下面视频 | 久久久国产99久久国产首页 | 久久tv免费国产高清 | 成人三级精品视频在线观看 | 在线观看日本永久免费视频 | 手机看片1024精品国产 | 老人久久www免费人成看片 | 国产精品久久久精品三级 | 免费一区二区三区视频狠狠 | 国产成人亚洲合集青青草原精品 | 成在线人永久免费播放视频 | 毛片网站视频 | 在线视频久 | 日韩一级片播放 | 在线观看免费为成年视频 | 国产伦精品一区二区三区精品 | 国产高清日韩 | 欧美激情精品久久久久久久九九九 | 国产精品亚洲精品日韩已满 | 欧美日韩国产一区二区三区在线观看 | 国产精品亚洲第五区在线 | 性欧美美国级毛片 | 99国产精品久久久久久久成人热 | 91香蕉国产线观看免 | 在线视频日韩 | 久久99毛片免费观看不卡 | 国产农村乱子伦精品视频 | 欧美成人三级网站 | 欧美啊啊啊 | 成年人www | 亚洲国产精品热久久2022 | 亚洲精品久久九九热 | 一级女性生活片 | 亚洲精品一区二区观看 | 男人在线天堂 | 成人a毛片视频免费看 | 久久精品国产午夜伦班片 | 免费国产一级 |