www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

WORLD> Asia-Pacific
China, India rising, but face bumpy ride: forecast
(Agencies)
Updated: 2008-11-22 10:40

WASHINGTON   -- A new US intelligence forecast identifies China and India as rising heavyweights in a coming multi-polar world but says both face a potentially bumpy ride to the top.


Construction under way in Hong Kong. A new US intelligence forecast identifies China and India as rising heavyweights in a coming multi-polar world but says both face a potentially bumpy ride to the top. [Agencies]

"Although we believe chances are good that China and India will continue to rise, their ascent is not guaranteed and will require overcoming high economic and social hurdles," the report by the US National Intelligence Council said.

Titled "Global Trends 2025 -- A World Transformed," the 121-page report was released Thursday to stimulate debate and thinking as a new US administration prepares to take power.

It warned that US security and economic interests could face new challenges if China becomes a peer competitor with a strong military and a dynamic, energy-hungry economy.

"Few countries are poised to have more impact on the world over the next 15-20 years than China," the report said.

"If current trends persist, by 2025 China will have the world's second largest economy and will be a leading military power," it added.

"It could also be the largest importer of natural resources and an even greater polluter than it is now."

But it said China's economic growth will certainly slow, or even recede.

Mounting social pressures arising from growing income disparities, a fraying social safety net, poor business regulation, hunger for foreign energy, enduring corruption, and environmental devastation also lie in its future.

"Any of these problems might be soluble in isolation, but the country could be hit by a 'perfect storm' if many of them demand attention at the same time," the report said.

The report said India will probably continue to enjoy relatively rapid economic growth, but the growing gap between rich and poor will become a more acute political issue.

"Indian leaders do not see Washington as a military or economic patron and now believe the international situation has made such a benefactor unnecessary," the report said.

"New Delhi will, however, pursue the benefits of favorable US ties, partly, too, as a hedge against any development of hostile ties with China," it said.

In a discussion about Japan, the report said its policies in the future will be shaped by those of China and the United States.

It said Tokyo would stay close to Washington whether it developed closer economic ties with Beijing or faced a hostile China.

But if the US security commitment to Japan weakened or if Washington moved significantly closer to Beijing, Tokyo would move closer to China.

The report also identified three potential up and coming powers, all from the Muslim world but not from its Arab core. They are Indonesia, Turkey and Iran.

Political and economic reform in Iran, along with a stable investment climate, "could fundamentally redraw both the way the world perceives the country and also the way in which Iranians view themselves."

"Under those circumstances, economic resurgence could take place quickly in Iran and embolden a latent cosmopolitan, educated, at times secular Iranian middle class," it said.

主站蜘蛛池模板: 久久国产精品歌舞团 | 美女张开双腿让男人桶视频免费 | 欧美一区二区在线免费观看 | 毛片免费在线观看 | 亚洲综合伦理一区 | 国产丶欧美丶日韩丶不卡影视 | 亚洲成在线 | 亚洲精品一区二区三区中文字幕 | 国产高清一级视频在线观看 | 国产精品日本一区二区在线播放 | 伊人狠狠丁香婷婷综合色 | 国产日韩免费 | 欧美三级成版人版在线观看 | 亚洲欧洲精品国产二码 | 亚洲一区二区天海翼 | 国产精品特黄毛片 | 大尺度福利视频在线观看网址 | 国产人成亚洲第一网站在线播放 | 国产成人综合在线 | 免费日本视频 | 国产深夜福利在线观看网站 | 国产精品美女一区二区 | 亚洲第一免费播放区 | 外国三级毛片 | 欧美 亚洲 另类 自拍 在线 | 日本男人的天堂 | 成人做爰网站免费看 | 久久免费精品国产视频 | 国产91区| 欧美在线视频精品 | 国产一区二区三区在线观看视频 | 国产精品久久国产精品99 | 老司机精品福利视频 | 国产成人资源 | 亚洲精品综合在线 | 视频在线一区二区 | 女人张开腿给男人捅 | 亚洲欧美精品网站在线观看 | 日韩欧美综合 | 久久在线视频播放 | 午夜香港三级a三级三点 |