www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Business / View

Central bank sends clearer monetary accommodation signal

By Wang Tao (chinadaily.com.cn) Updated: 2016-03-01 14:28

Central bank sends clearer monetary accommodation signal

A clerk counts Chinese 100 yuan banknotes at a branch of a foreign bank in Beijing, Jan 4, 2016. [Photo/Agencies]

The People's Bank of China announced a 50-basis-point reserve requirement ratio cut for bank deposits on Monday night, taking the system average from 17 percent to 16.5 percent, releasing around 700 billion yuan in base money supply on our estimates.

The cut was timed to maintain adequate liquidity conditions in the face of ongoing capital outflows,?lower short-term rates somewhat to counter their recent rise with the automatic withdrawal of significant short-term liquidity, post-Chinese New Year, and send a clearer signal of monetary policy accommodation now that exchange rate concerns and pressures have eased compared with earlier this year.

Additional RRR cuts have been expected and needed for a while to offset sizeable yuan depreciation-fanned capital outflows since last October's RRR cut. We estimate non-FDI capital outflows stayed high at around $160 billion in December and January.

However, the central bank has until now been reluctant to deliver, preferring to use shorter liquidity provisioning or interest rate tools such as Standing Lending Facilities and Medium-term Lending Facilities instead, for fear of further aggravating yuan depreciation pressures.

Now that exchange rate concerns and pressures have eased somewhat versus the Chinese New Year, the PBOC appears to be sending a clearer signal of monetary policy accommodation.

Even before G20 finance ministers and central bank governors' calls last week, the Chinese government had been indicating that it would be adopting more expansion in fiscal and monetary policies to support growth.

December's Economic Work Conference laid out a clear easing bias for China's 2016 policy plans. We expect more detailed measures to come, including the new budget to be unveiled at the annual National People's Congress this weekend, on the monetary, fiscal and structural fronts.

As Governor Zhou Xiaochuan reiterated last Friday, there will be more policy easing to come, but the PBOC does not intend to let its currency depreciate sharply and will manage its exchange rate referencing the basket while considering dollar-yuan movements. We still see the PBOC cutting the RRR multiple times by a total 300bp cuts and cutting benchmark rates twice more (taking the 1-year deposit and lending benchmark rates to 1 percent and 3.85 percent, respectively) this year.

While benchmark interest rates were not cut on Monday, persistent deflationary pressures mean that real interest rates remain too high, pushing up corporates' debt servicing burden and risking passive monetary tightening. We maintain our view that the RMB will only be allowed to depreciate by a modest 5 percent against the US this year, leaving it at 1: 6.8 by the end of 2016.

The article is a collaboration with UBS economists Donna Kwok, Ning Zhang and Jennifer Zhong. The views do not necessarily reflect those of China Daily.

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: xx69欧美| 午夜香蕉成视频人网站高清版 | 欧美一级日本一级韩国一级 | 免费手机黄色网址 | 在线播放免费播放av片 | 久久这里只有精品免费播放 | 91免费视 | 欧美一级视频在线观看欧美 | 成人综合在线视频免费观看 | 日本三级成人中文字幕乱码 | 国产精品拍拍拍福利在线观看 | 国产精品青草久久 | 中文字幕s级优女区 | 男女男精品视频免费观看 | 国产日本精品 | 精品在线视频一区 | 成人午夜两性视频免费看 | 欧美大片一区 | 国产丝袜美女一区二区三区 | 久久国产精品自线拍免费 | 久久精品23| 成年男女免费视频网站播放 | 免费在线一级片 | 亚洲色吧 | 色偷偷成人网免费视频男人的天堂 | 精品中文字幕一区在线 | 香蕉香蕉国产片一级一级毛片 | 狠狠色狠狠色综合久久一 | 成人18免费网站 | 欧美精品一级毛片 | 久久久久女人精品毛片九一 | 欧美日韩一区二区三区视视频 | 欧美极品欧美精品欧美视频 | 国产亚洲精品线观看77 | 亚洲美女视频在线 | 久久99热精品免费观看欧美 | 久久免费精品国产视频 | 欧美一级毛片生活片 | 国产中文字幕免费观看 | 91久久国产精品 | 精品一区二区三区在线观看 |