www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Business / Opinion

Unbearable weight on monetary policy

By Wang Tao (chinadaily.com.cn) Updated: 2014-06-26 14:49

Expectation that reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts can stimulate economic growth places too much importance not only on the role of RRR cut in generating credit growth, but also on the role monetary policy can play.

First, credit growth has not been the key constraint to the real economy. While the government continues to call for the financial sector to "increase support to the real economy", the continued rapid increase in overall leverage?- as measured by the credit/gross domestic product ratio?- is testament to the incredibly strong support the financial sector has already provided and continues to provide to the real economy.

Second, financing problems faced by some corporates are mainly structural. Small and medium enterprises (SMEs) and private companies often face financing difficulties, not because general monetary condition is not easy enough, but because their access to credit is often crowded out by State-owned enterprises (SOEs), local government investment platforms, and property related projects. The latter either have easier access to cheaper credit or have soft budget constraints and are therefore less sensitive to higher credit costs, or can use land/property as collateral to tap into the shadow financing market. Addressing SME and private sector financing difficulties require structural reforms and, in the short-term, targeted credit easing, while a whole-sale monetary and credit easing will be less effective and may exacerbate the structural imbalance.

Third, the biggest problem facing the corporate sector is not the lack of credit but the lack of investment intention or access. Of course, every business would always like to have cheaper and easier access to credit at any given time, so senior leaders may get a misleading assessment by asking businesses the questions of financing. For many companies, the bigger problem now is excess capacity, especially in heavy industry and construction related sectors. For these companies that face excess capacity, low profit margins and weak future prospect, cheaper and easier credit can help them survive better but will unlikely stimulate further investment, nor should the government want to. For many other companies especially those in the private sector and services industries, entrance barrier is the key issue, which requires faster reforms to breakdown such barriers.

This is not to say that monetary policy has no role to play in the current environment. It can help to stabilize credit growth and anchor expectations so as to create a stable macro environment for structural and fiscal policies to work. In this regard, in addition to the targeted liquidity easing, the government can cut RRR for the purpose of reducing distortions, cut benchmark interest rates (which most credit is still priced of) to help reduce the cost of borrowing, and engage in counter-cyclical macro prudential management (for example by increasing loan quota and relax loan-to-deposit ratio management).

Fundamentally, however, the problems in the real economy is not caused by too little credit, monetary and credit policies have already been heavily relied on and have diminishing effectiveness, and the government is already dealing with the aftermath of the recent credit boom along with the deep-rooted structural issues. It is time for structural reforms and restructuring of the real economy to carry bigger weights instead of monetary policy.

The author is a UBS economist. The views do not necessarily reflect those of China Daily.

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 国内一级野外a一级毛片 | 国产91亚洲精品 | 国产毛片一区 | 国产精品久久久久激情影院 | 国内精品久久久久久网站 | 一级成人毛片免费观看欧美 | 欧美日韩性视频一区二区三区 | 大陆60老妇xxxxhd | 婷婷色九月综合激情丁香 | 久久精品视频在线 | 天堂视频免费看 | 富二代精品视频 | 国产精品秦先生手机在线 | 亚洲国产成人久久综合野外 | 亚洲精品综合 | 亚洲一区二区三区免费 | 国产精品亚洲综合网站 | 国产三级日本三级在线播放 | 国产步兵社区视频在线观看 | 久草手机视频在线观看 | 在线观看精品视频一区二区三区 | 成人影院免费看 | 成年人午夜免费视频 | 性生活视频网站 | 欧美日韩精品免费一区二区三区 | 九草视频 | 欧美va免费大片 | 国产美女精品视频 | 99国内视频 | 免看一级a毛片一片成人不卡 | 精品成人免费一区二区在线播放 | 欧美精品一区二区在线观看播放 | 久久福利青草精品资源 | 亚洲成a人片毛片在线 | 欧洲女同互慰在线视频 | 日韩一区二区三区四区 | 亚洲美女性视频 | 欧美激情欧美狂野欧美精品免费 | 欧美jizzhd精品欧美另类 | 草草草在线视频 | 中国美女隐私无遮挡免费视频 |